• 46 Downloads Abstract According to B.L. Berry’s “harmonic model,” any natural or social process is a superposition of several cosmic rhythms. The author assumes that stability of these rhythms allows prediction of earth phenomena over an unlimited time. We show that the statistical criteria supposedly substantiating the harmonic model were applied incorrectly. The initial data for the analysis were biased and selected incompetently; the adequacy of the methods used was not verified. Predictions of natural catastrophes (earthquakes, weather anomalies, etc.) and various social events according to Berry’s model are unsatisfactory.

A escho oni ochen smeshnie I predannie. Ochenj malenkie sobaki mnogie merzko zluchie. Chtobi chelovek razyarennuu boem sobaku mog raznyat bez posledstvii dlya. C) Ochenj malenkie sobaki mnogie merzko zluchie. Nu I hren s nimi, mnogo vreda ne nanesut. Lish odin raz videla nedobrogo staffika. Pozavchera 4 staffika menya zalizali do umopomracheniya. Kogda shenok bil malenkii ya tozhe boyalas, chto on budet kak vse govoryat. A seichas mi ego zovem 'plyush'. Canada Goose Jakke Canada Goose Jacket clear the box within of but also lug the possibly can in the direction of front yard. Soglasna s Liyey, Kriliya deistvitelno smeshnie!! Navernoe, Evelina sebya ne videla v etom platie szadi. Ne ponravilas Yana, chto-to uj ona sporit postoyanno, ne daet Eveline slova skazat. Ochenj smeshnie slova dlya krokodila.

Statistics do not confirm that these predictions are at least slightly better than random guessing. Berry’s model is unacceptable; it is untenable both in detail and in general.

The article describes the famous theory of economic cycles and crises. Characteristics of selected theories are given. The development of views on the causes of cyclical economy is described. Matveeva T.Yu. Vvedenie v makroekonomiku / T.Yu. Matveeva // M. – GU VShE, 2002. Leave a Comment Cancel reply Your email address will not be published.